BC Game Masters Europe Season 2 Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga#68 in the world · win 2:1series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:1
AAaB#75 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed11:13
Nemiga 53%AaB 47%
The model gave 53% on Nemiga — the map was taken by AaB.
Overpassprediction missed13:5
Nemiga 47%AaB 53%
The model gave 53% on AaB — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Nukeprediction correct13:9
Nemiga 50%AaB 50%
The model gave 50% on Nemiga — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga · 51%
Series resultNemiga 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3