CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Oxuji#173 in the world · win 2:1series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Ursa#88 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Ursa pick
50%64%
Oxuji · 2 mapsedge Ursa +14%Ursa · 7 maps
NukeOxuji pick
67%40%
Oxuji · 2 mapsedge Oxuji +27%Ursa · 6 maps
MirageOxuji ban
40%63%
Oxuji · 1 mapedge Ursa +23%Ursa · 4 maps
Infernopossible decider
50%38%
Oxuji · 0 mapsedge Oxuji +12%Ursa · 4 maps
OverpassOxuji ban
50%43%
Oxuji · 0 mapsedge Oxuji +7%Ursa · 3 maps
AncientUrsa ban
67%50%
Oxuji · 2 mapsedge Oxuji +17%Ursa · 0 maps
DefaultUrsa ban
67%50%
Oxuji · 2 mapsedge Oxuji +17%Ursa · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanOxuji remove Overpass
2. BanUrsa remove Ancient
3. PickOxuji take Nuke
4. PickUrsa take Dust2
5. BanUrsa remove Default
6. BanOxuji remove Mirage
DeciderInferno (50% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:7
Oxuji 77%Ursa 23%
The model gave 77% on Oxuji — the map was taken by Oxuji.
Dust2prediction correct7:13
Oxuji 34%Ursa 66%
The model gave 66% on Ursa — the map was taken by Ursa.
Mirageprediction missed16:13
Oxuji 29%Ursa 71%
The model gave 71% on Ursa — the map was taken by Oxuji.
Model check result
Model favoriteUrsa · 61%
Series resultOxuji 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3