CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Oxuji#164 in the world · win 2:1series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Ursa#68 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoUrsa ban
50%40%
Oxuji · 0 mapsedge Oxuji +10%Ursa · 1 map
NukeOxuji ban
50%40%
Oxuji · 0 mapsedge Oxuji +10%Ursa · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanOxuji remove Nuke
2. BanUrsa remove Inferno
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:7
Oxuji 63%Ursa 37%
The model gave 63% on Oxuji — the map was taken by Oxuji.
Dust2prediction correct7:13
Oxuji 47%Ursa 53%
The model gave 53% on Ursa — the map was taken by Ursa.
Mirageprediction correct16:13
Oxuji 50%Ursa 50%
The model gave 50% on Oxuji — the map was taken by Oxuji.
Model check result
Model favoriteOxuji · 50%
Series resultOxuji 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3