BC Game Masters Europe Season 2 Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Tricked#44 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 1:2
AM#72 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientTricked ban
50%60%
Tricked · 0 mapsedge AM +10%AM · 1 map
InfernoAM ban
50%60%
Tricked · 0 mapsedge AM +10%AM · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanTricked remove Ancient
2. BanAM remove Inferno
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:10
Tricked 47%AM 53%
The model gave 53% on AM — the map was taken by Tricked.
Overpassprediction missed3:13
Tricked 53%AM 47%
The model gave 53% on Tricked — the map was taken by AM.
Infernoprediction correct6:13
Tricked 40%AM 60%
The model gave 60% on AM — the map was taken by AM.
Model check result
Model favoriteAM · 56%
Series resultAM 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3