CCT 2026 South America Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Isurus#186 in the world · win 2:1series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:1
R2#208 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Isurus pick
56%50%
Isurus · 5 mapsedge Isurus +6%R2 · 2 maps
MirageR2 ban
63%50%
Isurus · 4 mapsedge Isurus +13%R2 · 0 maps
AncientIsurus ban
33%60%
Isurus · 2 mapsedge R2 +27%R2 · 1 map
NukeR2 pick
50%43%
Isurus · 0 mapsedge Isurus +7%R2 · 3 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%60%
Isurus · 1 mapnearly even +0%R2 · 1 map
InfernoR2 ban
50%50%
Isurus · 2 mapsnearly even +0%R2 · 0 maps
OverpassIsurus ban
40%40%
Isurus · 1 mapnearly even +0%R2 · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanIsurus remove Ancient
2. BanR2 remove Mirage
3. PickIsurus take Dust2
4. PickR2 take Nuke
5. BanR2 remove Inferno
6. BanIsurus remove Overpass
DeciderDefault (60% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed8:13
Isurus 58%R2 42%
The model gave 58% on Isurus — the map was taken by R2.
Nukeprediction correct13:10
Isurus 54%R2 46%
The model gave 54% on Isurus — the map was taken by Isurus.
Overpassprediction correct13:4
Isurus 50%R2 50%
The model gave 50% on Isurus — the map was taken by Isurus.
Model check result
Model favoriteIsurus · 64%
Series resultIsurus 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3