NODWIN Clutch Series 8 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
TNC#139 in the world · win 2:1series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Phantom#55 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:7
TNC 47%Phantom 53%
The model gave 53% on Phantom — the map was taken by TNC.
Ancientprediction missed6:13
TNC 53%Phantom 47%
The model gave 53% on TNC — the map was taken by Phantom.
Nukeprediction correct13:11
TNC 50%Phantom 50%
The model gave 50% on TNC — the map was taken by TNC.
Model check result
Model favoritePhantom · 58%
Series resultTNC 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3