CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Atreides#147 in the world · win 2:0series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Lilmix#204 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageAtreides pick
60%43%
Atreides · 1 mapedge Atreides +17%Lilmix · 10 maps
Dust2Lilmix ban
40%20%
Atreides · 1 mapedge Atreides +20%Lilmix · 6 maps
AncientAtreides ban
50%56%
Atreides · 0 mapsedge Lilmix +6%Lilmix · 5 maps
OverpassLilmix pick
40%71%
Atreides · 1 mapedge Lilmix +31%Lilmix · 3 maps
InfernoAtreides ban
50%71%
Atreides · 0 mapsedge Lilmix +21%Lilmix · 3 maps
DefaultLilmix ban
50%33%
Atreides · 0 mapsedge Atreides +17%Lilmix · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAtreides remove Inferno
2. BanLilmix remove Dust2
3. PickAtreides take Mirage
4. PickLilmix take Overpass
5. BanLilmix remove Default
6. BanAtreides remove Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:6
Atreides 47%Lilmix 53%
The model gave 53% on Lilmix — the map was taken by Atreides.
Overpassprediction missed16:14
Atreides 19%Lilmix 81%
The model gave 81% on Lilmix — the map was taken by Atreides.
Model check result
Model favoriteAtreides · 52%
Series resultAtreides 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2