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CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Omega#148 in the world · win 2:0
series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 2:0
UNiTY#102 in the world · loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageOmega pick
43%50%
Omega · 3 mapsedge UNiTY +7%UNiTY · 4 maps
AncientOmega ban
50%40%
Omega · 0 mapsedge Omega +10%UNiTY · 6 maps
Dust2possible decider
40%50%
Omega · 1 mapedge UNiTY +10%UNiTY · 4 maps
AnubisUNiTY ban
50%43%
Omega · 0 mapsedge Omega +7%UNiTY · 3 maps
NukeUNiTY ban
67%50%
Omega · 2 mapsedge Omega +17%UNiTY · 0 maps
DefaultUNiTY pick
50%60%
Omega · 0 mapsedge UNiTY +10%UNiTY · 1 map
InfernoOmega ban
50%60%
Omega · 0 mapsedge UNiTY +10%UNiTY · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanOmega remove Inferno
2. BanUNiTY remove Nuke
3. PickOmega take Mirage
4. PickUNiTY take Default
5. BanUNiTY remove Anubis
6. BanOmega remove Ancient
DeciderDust2 (40% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:10
Omega 43%UNiTY 57%
The model gave 57% on UNiTY — the map was taken by Omega.
Ancientprediction correct13:7
Omega 57%UNiTY 43%
The model gave 57% on Omega — the map was taken by Omega.
Model check result
Model favoriteUNiTY · 62%
Series resultOmega 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2