ESL Challenger League Season 52 Asia-Pacific Cup 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Kaleido#191 in the worldseries probability
47%53%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
JSJust Swing
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientKaleido pick
56%50%
Kaleido · 5 mapsedge Kaleido +6%Just Swing · 0 maps
InfernoJust Swing pick
38%50%
Kaleido · 4 mapsedge Just Swing +12%Just Swing · 0 maps
Dust2Just Swing ban
57%50%
Kaleido · 3 mapsedge Kaleido +7%Just Swing · 0 maps
MirageJust Swing ban
50%50%
Kaleido · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Just Swing · 0 maps
NukeKaleido ban
50%50%
Kaleido · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Just Swing · 0 maps
CacheKaleido ban
40%50%
Kaleido · 1 mapedge Just Swing +10%Just Swing · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanKaleido remove Nuke
2. BanJust Swing remove Dust2
3. PickKaleido take Ancient
4. PickJust Swing take Inferno
5. BanJust Swing remove Mirage
6. BanKaleido remove Cache