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ESL Challenger League Season 52 South America Cup 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Fluxo#59 in the world
series probability
55%45%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
PEAK
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeFluxo pick
62%50%
Fluxo · 17 mapsedge Fluxo +12%PEAK · 0 maps
Dust2possible decider
53%50%
Fluxo · 13 mapsnearly even +3%PEAK · 0 maps
InfernoFluxo ban
46%50%
Fluxo · 9 mapsnearly even -4%PEAK · 0 maps
MiragePEAK ban
67%50%
Fluxo · 8 mapsedge Fluxo +17%PEAK · 0 maps
AnubisPEAK pick
45%50%
Fluxo · 7 mapsedge PEAK +5%PEAK · 0 maps
CachePEAK ban
56%50%
Fluxo · 5 mapsedge Fluxo +6%PEAK · 0 maps
AncientFluxo ban
40%50%
Fluxo · 1 mapedge PEAK +10%PEAK · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFluxo remove Ancient
2. BanPEAK remove Mirage
3. PickFluxo take Nuke
4. PickPEAK take Anubis
5. BanPEAK remove Cache
6. BanFluxo remove Inferno
DeciderDust2 (53% / 50%)