ESL Challenger League Season 52 South America Cup 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Yawara#131 in the worldseries probability
45%55%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Keyd Stars#117 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageYawara pick
56%53%
Yawara · 12 mapsnearly even +3%Keyd Stars · 13 maps
AncientKeyd Stars pick
46%53%
Yawara · 9 mapsedge Keyd Stars +7%Keyd Stars · 15 maps
Dust2possible decider
55%44%
Yawara · 7 mapsedge Yawara +11%Keyd Stars · 5 maps
AnubisYawara ban
50%67%
Yawara · 4 mapsedge Keyd Stars +17%Keyd Stars · 5 maps
InfernoKeyd Stars ban
57%38%
Yawara · 3 mapsedge Yawara +19%Keyd Stars · 4 maps
NukeYawara ban
50%36%
Yawara · 0 mapsedge Yawara +14%Keyd Stars · 7 maps
CacheKeyd Stars ban
40%40%
Yawara · 1 mapnearly even +0%Keyd Stars · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanYawara remove Nuke
2. BanKeyd Stars remove Cache
3. PickYawara take Mirage
4. PickKeyd Stars take Ancient
5. BanKeyd Stars remove Inferno
6. BanYawara remove Anubis
DeciderDust2 (55% / 44%)