ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Villainous#142 in the worldseries probability
53%47%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Overtake Sector#168 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoOvertake Sector ban
67%29%
Villainous · 5 mapsedge Villainous +38%Overtake Sector · 3 maps
MirageOvertake Sector pick
40%55%
Villainous · 1 mapedge Overtake Sector +15%Overtake Sector · 7 maps
AncientOvertake Sector ban
40%33%
Villainous · 1 mapedge Villainous +7%Overtake Sector · 5 maps
Dust2Villainous ban
40%67%
Villainous · 1 mapedge Overtake Sector +27%Overtake Sector · 5 maps
AnubisVillainous pick
50%60%
Villainous · 4 mapsedge Overtake Sector +10%Overtake Sector · 1 map
OverpassVillainous ban
50%50%
Villainous · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Overtake Sector · 2 maps
Cachepossible decider
60%50%
Villainous · 1 mapedge Villainous +10%Overtake Sector · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVillainous remove Dust2
2. BanOvertake Sector remove Inferno
3. PickVillainous take Anubis
4. PickOvertake Sector take Mirage
5. BanOvertake Sector remove Ancient
6. BanVillainous remove Overpass
DeciderCache (60% / 50%)