ESL Challenger League Season 52 Asia-Pacific Cup 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Chinggis Warriors#205 in the worldseries probability
37%63%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
XXDM
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoChinggis Warriors pick
50%60%
Chinggis Warriors · 4 mapsedge XDM +10%XDM · 1 map
Dust2Chinggis Warriors ban
38%50%
Chinggis Warriors · 4 mapsedge XDM +12%XDM · 0 maps
NukeXDM ban
38%50%
Chinggis Warriors · 4 mapsedge XDM +12%XDM · 0 maps
AncientChinggis Warriors ban
40%60%
Chinggis Warriors · 1 mapedge XDM +20%XDM · 1 map
MirageXDM pick
40%40%
Chinggis Warriors · 1 mapnearly even +0%XDM · 1 map
CacheXDM ban
40%50%
Chinggis Warriors · 1 mapedge XDM +10%XDM · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanChinggis Warriors remove Ancient
2. BanXDM remove Cache
3. PickChinggis Warriors take Inferno
4. PickXDM take Mirage
5. BanXDM remove Nuke
6. BanChinggis Warriors remove Dust2