ESL Challenger League Season 52 Asia-Pacific Cup 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Haunted House#226 in the worldseries probability
36%64%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
5star#145 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancient5star ban
50%25%
Haunted House · 0 mapsedge Haunted House +25%5star · 8 maps
InfernoHaunted House ban
50%45%
Haunted House · 0 mapsedge Haunted House +5%5star · 7 maps
Nuke5star pick
40%56%
Haunted House · 1 mapedge 5star +16%5star · 5 maps
CacheHaunted House ban
50%56%
Haunted House · 0 mapsedge 5star +6%5star · 5 maps
MirageHaunted House pick
60%57%
Haunted House · 1 mapnearly even +3%5star · 3 maps
Anubispossible decider
50%60%
Haunted House · 0 mapsedge 5star +10%5star · 1 map
Dust25star ban
40%50%
Haunted House · 1 mapedge 5star +10%5star · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHaunted House remove Cache
2. Ban5star remove Dust2
3. PickHaunted House take Mirage
4. Pick5star take Nuke
5. Ban5star remove Ancient
6. BanHaunted House remove Inferno
DeciderAnubis (50% / 60%)