ESL Challenger League Season 52 South America Cup 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Fluxo#58 in the worldseries probability
70%30%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Keyd Stars#117 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeFluxo pick
64%36%
Fluxo · 18 mapsedge Fluxo +28%Keyd Stars · 7 maps
MirageKeyd Stars pick
67%56%
Fluxo · 8 mapsedge Fluxo +11%Keyd Stars · 14 maps
Dust2possible decider
53%40%
Fluxo · 13 mapsedge Fluxo +13%Keyd Stars · 6 maps
AncientFluxo ban
40%55%
Fluxo · 1 mapedge Keyd Stars +15%Keyd Stars · 16 maps
InfernoKeyd Stars ban
50%38%
Fluxo · 10 mapsedge Fluxo +12%Keyd Stars · 4 maps
AnubisFluxo ban
45%67%
Fluxo · 7 mapsedge Keyd Stars +22%Keyd Stars · 5 maps
CacheKeyd Stars ban
56%40%
Fluxo · 5 mapsedge Fluxo +16%Keyd Stars · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFluxo remove Ancient
2. BanKeyd Stars remove Cache
3. PickFluxo take Nuke
4. PickKeyd Stars take Mirage
5. BanKeyd Stars remove Inferno
6. BanFluxo remove Anubis
DeciderDust2 (53% / 40%)