ESL Challenger League Season 52 Asia-Pacific Cup 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
XDMseries probability
52%48%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Nas#209 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientNas pick
60%43%
XDM · 1 mapedge XDM +17%Nas · 3 maps
NukeXDM ban
40%50%
XDM · 1 mapedge Nas +10%Nas · 2 maps
Dust2Nas ban
50%50%
XDM · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Nas · 2 maps
MirageXDM pick
33%50%
XDM · 2 mapsedge Nas +17%Nas · 0 maps
InfernoNas ban
60%50%
XDM · 1 mapedge XDM +10%Nas · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanXDM remove Nuke
2. BanNas remove Inferno
3. PickXDM take Mirage
4. PickNas take Ancient
5. BanNas remove Dust2