ESL Challenger League Season 52 Asia-Pacific Cup 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Alter Ego#117 in the worldseries probability
59%41%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Kaleido#148 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientKaleido pick
57%60%
Alter Ego · 3 mapsnearly even -3%Kaleido · 6 maps
InfernoKaleido ban
57%38%
Alter Ego · 3 mapsedge Alter Ego +19%Kaleido · 4 maps
Dust2Alter Ego pick
71%43%
Alter Ego · 3 mapsedge Alter Ego +28%Kaleido · 3 maps
Miragepossible decider
50%60%
Alter Ego · 2 mapsedge Kaleido +10%Kaleido · 1 map
NukeAlter Ego ban
40%50%
Alter Ego · 1 mapedge Kaleido +10%Kaleido · 2 maps
CacheKaleido ban
50%33%
Alter Ego · 0 mapsedge Alter Ego +17%Kaleido · 2 maps
AnubisAlter Ego ban
40%50%
Alter Ego · 1 mapedge Kaleido +10%Kaleido · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAlter Ego remove Nuke
2. BanKaleido remove Cache
3. PickAlter Ego take Dust2
4. PickKaleido take Ancient
5. BanKaleido remove Inferno
6. BanAlter Ego remove Anubis
DeciderMirage (50% / 60%)