ESL Challenger League Season 52 Asia-Pacific Cup 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
5star#145 in the worldseries probability
57%43%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancient5star ban
25%50%
5star · 8 mapsedge Vitalem Aerem +25%Vitalem Aerem · 2 maps
Infernopossible decider
45%43%
5star · 7 mapsnearly even +2%Vitalem Aerem · 3 maps
Nuke5star pick
60%33%
5star · 6 mapsedge 5star +27%Vitalem Aerem · 2 maps
CacheVitalem Aerem ban
56%50%
5star · 5 mapsedge 5star +6%Vitalem Aerem · 0 maps
Dust25star ban
50%63%
5star · 0 mapsedge Vitalem Aerem +13%Vitalem Aerem · 4 maps
MirageVitalem Aerem ban
63%50%
5star · 4 mapsedge 5star +13%Vitalem Aerem · 0 maps
AnubisVitalem Aerem pick
60%60%
5star · 1 mapnearly even +0%Vitalem Aerem · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban5star remove Dust2
2. BanVitalem Aerem remove Mirage
3. Pick5star take Nuke
4. PickVitalem Aerem take Anubis
5. BanVitalem Aerem remove Cache
6. Ban5star remove Ancient
DeciderInferno (45% / 43%)