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ESL Challenger League Season 52 South America Cup 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Yawara#153 in the world
series probability
41%59%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
ODDIK#119 in the world
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageYawara pick
53%70%
Yawara · 13 mapsedge ODDIK +17%ODDIK · 6 maps
Dust2ODDIK pick
62%50%
Yawara · 9 mapsedge Yawara +12%ODDIK · 8 maps
Ancientpossible decider
47%50%
Yawara · 11 mapsnearly even -3%ODDIK · 4 maps
AnubisYawara ban
50%67%
Yawara · 4 mapsedge ODDIK +17%ODDIK · 2 maps
CacheODDIK ban
40%50%
Yawara · 1 mapedge ODDIK +10%ODDIK · 4 maps
InfernoODDIK ban
57%50%
Yawara · 3 mapsedge Yawara +7%ODDIK · 0 maps
NukeYawara ban
50%71%
Yawara · 0 mapsedge ODDIK +21%ODDIK · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanYawara remove Nuke
2. BanODDIK remove Inferno
3. PickYawara take Mirage
4. PickODDIK take Dust2
5. BanODDIK remove Cache
6. BanYawara remove Anubis
DeciderAncient (47% / 50%)