ESL Challenger League Season 52 Asia-Pacific Cup 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Chinggis Warriors#205 in the worldseries probability
31%69%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
NEXVOID#156 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoChinggis Warriors pick
50%67%
Chinggis Warriors · 4 mapsedge NEXVOID +17%NEXVOID · 8 maps
AncientChinggis Warriors ban
40%80%
Chinggis Warriors · 1 mapedge NEXVOID +40%NEXVOID · 6 maps
Dust2Chinggis Warriors ban
38%29%
Chinggis Warriors · 4 mapsedge Chinggis Warriors +9%NEXVOID · 3 maps
NukeNEXVOID pick
44%50%
Chinggis Warriors · 5 mapsedge NEXVOID +6%NEXVOID · 2 maps
CacheNEXVOID ban
40%40%
Chinggis Warriors · 1 mapnearly even +0%NEXVOID · 1 map
MirageNEXVOID ban
50%50%
Chinggis Warriors · 2 mapsnearly even +0%NEXVOID · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanChinggis Warriors remove Ancient
2. BanNEXVOID remove Mirage
3. PickChinggis Warriors take Inferno
4. PickNEXVOID take Nuke
5. BanNEXVOID remove Cache
6. BanChinggis Warriors remove Dust2