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ESL Challenger League Season 52 Asia-Pacific Cup 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Vitalem Aerem
series probability
51%49%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Just Swing
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientVitalem Aerem pick
57%33%
Vitalem Aerem · 3 mapsedge Vitalem Aerem +24%Just Swing · 2 maps
Dust2Just Swing ban
63%40%
Vitalem Aerem · 4 mapsedge Vitalem Aerem +23%Just Swing · 1 map
InfernoVitalem Aerem ban
43%67%
Vitalem Aerem · 3 mapsedge Just Swing +24%Just Swing · 2 maps
NukeJust Swing pick
43%50%
Vitalem Aerem · 3 mapsedge Just Swing +7%Just Swing · 0 maps
CacheVitalem Aerem ban
50%67%
Vitalem Aerem · 0 mapsedge Just Swing +17%Just Swing · 2 maps
AnubisJust Swing ban
60%50%
Vitalem Aerem · 1 mapedge Vitalem Aerem +10%Just Swing · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVitalem Aerem remove Cache
2. BanJust Swing remove Dust2
3. PickVitalem Aerem take Ancient
4. PickJust Swing take Nuke
5. BanJust Swing remove Anubis
6. BanVitalem Aerem remove Inferno