ESL Challenger League Season 52 South America Cup 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
ShindeN#87 in the worldseries probability
51%49%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Imperial#56 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageImperial pick
56%64%
ShindeN · 5 mapsedge Imperial +8%Imperial · 18 maps
InfernoShindeN pick
73%63%
ShindeN · 7 mapsedge ShindeN +10%Imperial · 15 maps
NukeShindeN ban
30%72%
ShindeN · 6 mapsedge Imperial +42%Imperial · 14 maps
Dust2Imperial ban
63%58%
ShindeN · 4 mapsedge ShindeN +5%Imperial · 8 maps
CacheShindeN ban
33%64%
ShindeN · 2 mapsedge Imperial +31%Imperial · 7 maps
AncientImperial ban
60%50%
ShindeN · 6 mapsedge ShindeN +10%Imperial · 0 maps
Overpasspossible decider
71%40%
ShindeN · 3 mapsedge ShindeN +31%Imperial · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanShindeN remove Nuke
2. BanImperial remove Ancient
3. PickShindeN take Inferno
4. PickImperial take Mirage
5. BanImperial remove Dust2
6. BanShindeN remove Cache
DeciderOverpass (71% / 40%)