ESL Challenger League Season 52 South America Cup 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Turma do Pagodeseries probability
37%63%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Isurus#98 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Isurus pick
50%67%
Turma do Pagode · 2 mapsedge Isurus +17%Isurus · 11 maps
Infernopossible decider
40%57%
Turma do Pagode · 1 mapedge Isurus +17%Isurus · 10 maps
MirageIsurus ban
60%50%
Turma do Pagode · 1 mapedge Turma do Pagode +10%Isurus · 8 maps
AncientIsurus ban
57%22%
Turma do Pagode · 3 mapsedge Turma do Pagode +35%Isurus · 5 maps
NukeTurma do Pagode ban
50%42%
Turma do Pagode · 0 mapsedge Turma do Pagode +8%Isurus · 8 maps
CacheTurma do Pagode ban
50%60%
Turma do Pagode · 0 mapsedge Isurus +10%Isurus · 6 maps
DefaultTurma do Pagode pick
50%67%
Turma do Pagode · 0 mapsedge Isurus +17%Isurus · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanTurma do Pagode remove Cache
2. BanIsurus remove Ancient
3. PickTurma do Pagode take Default
4. PickIsurus take Dust2
5. BanIsurus remove Mirage
6. BanTurma do Pagode remove Nuke
DeciderInferno (40% / 57%)