ESL Challenger League Season 52 Oceania Cup 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Rooster#160 in the worldseries probability
56%44%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisMARKandLARRY ban
67%43%
Rooster · 8 mapsedge Rooster +24%MARKandLARRY · 3 maps
InfernoRooster ban
50%38%
Rooster · 6 mapsedge Rooster +12%MARKandLARRY · 4 maps
MirageMARKandLARRY pick
55%57%
Rooster · 7 mapsnearly even -2%MARKandLARRY · 3 maps
Dust2Rooster pick
56%50%
Rooster · 5 mapsedge Rooster +6%MARKandLARRY · 2 maps
NukeRooster ban
33%50%
Rooster · 5 mapsedge MARKandLARRY +17%MARKandLARRY · 2 maps
Overpasspossible decider
40%50%
Rooster · 1 mapedge MARKandLARRY +10%MARKandLARRY · 2 maps
CacheMARKandLARRY ban
60%50%
Rooster · 1 mapedge Rooster +10%MARKandLARRY · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanRooster remove Nuke
2. BanMARKandLARRY remove Anubis
3. PickRooster take Dust2
4. PickMARKandLARRY take Mirage
5. BanMARKandLARRY remove Cache
6. BanRooster remove Inferno
DeciderOverpass (40% / 50%)