Esports World Cup 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
PARIVISION#20 in the world · win 2:0series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 2:0
100 Thieves#37 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2100 Thieves pick
64%78%
PARIVISION · 7 mapsedge 100 Thieves +14%100 Thieves · 14 maps
AncientPARIVISION pick
64%60%
PARIVISION · 7 mapsnearly even +4%100 Thieves · 11 maps
Mirage100 Thieves ban
50%55%
PARIVISION · 6 mapsedge 100 Thieves +5%100 Thieves · 7 maps
InfernoPARIVISION ban
25%50%
PARIVISION · 4 mapsedge 100 Thieves +25%100 Thieves · 8 maps
NukePARIVISION ban
50%50%
PARIVISION · 0 mapsnearly even +0%100 Thieves · 10 maps
Anubis100 Thieves ban
40%50%
PARIVISION · 1 mapedge 100 Thieves +10%100 Thieves · 6 maps
Cachepossible decider
29%50%
PARIVISION · 3 mapsedge 100 Thieves +21%100 Thieves · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPARIVISION remove Nuke
2. Ban100 Thieves remove Anubis
3. PickPARIVISION take Ancient
4. Pick100 Thieves take Dust2
5. Ban100 Thieves remove Mirage
6. BanPARIVISION remove Inferno
DeciderCache (29% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:5
PARIVISION 37%100 Thieves 63%
The model gave 63% on 100 Thieves — the map was taken by PARIVISION.
Dust2prediction missed13:5
PARIVISION 36%100 Thieves 64%
The model gave 64% on 100 Thieves — the map was taken by PARIVISION.
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 68%
Series resultPARIVISION 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2