CCT 2026 South America Series 1 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:2
DAMAJUANA#232 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
DefaultDAMAJUANA pick
50%60%
ELITES · 2 mapsedge DAMAJUANA +10%DAMAJUANA · 1 map
InfernoELITES ban
50%33%
ELITES · 0 mapsedge ELITES +17%DAMAJUANA · 2 maps
MirageELITES pick
40%40%
ELITES · 1 mapnearly even +0%DAMAJUANA · 1 map
AncientDAMAJUANA ban
50%40%
ELITES · 0 mapsedge ELITES +10%DAMAJUANA · 1 map
Dust2DAMAJUANA ban
40%50%
ELITES · 1 mapedge DAMAJUANA +10%DAMAJUANA · 0 maps
NukeELITES ban
50%60%
ELITES · 0 mapsedge DAMAJUANA +10%DAMAJUANA · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanELITES remove Nuke
2. BanDAMAJUANA remove Dust2
3. PickELITES take Mirage
4. PickDAMAJUANA take Default
5. BanDAMAJUANA remove Ancient
6. BanELITES remove Inferno
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:7
ELITES 63%DAMAJUANA 37%
The model gave 63% on ELITES — the map was taken by ELITES.
Anubisprediction correct5:13
ELITES 47%DAMAJUANA 53%
The model gave 53% on DAMAJUANA — the map was taken by DAMAJUANA.
Infernoprediction missed11:13
ELITES 67%DAMAJUANA 33%
The model gave 67% on ELITES — the map was taken by DAMAJUANA.
Model check result
Model favoriteELITES · 51%
Series resultDAMAJUANA 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3