CCT 2026 South America Series 1 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
FURIA fe#251 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientPlayers pick
43%50%
Players · 3 mapsedge FURIA fe +7%FURIA fe · 0 maps
InfernoFURIA fe pick
60%40%
Players · 1 mapedge Players +20%FURIA fe · 1 map
MirageFURIA fe ban
40%40%
Players · 1 mapnearly even +0%FURIA fe · 1 map
NukePlayers ban
33%50%
Players · 2 mapsedge FURIA fe +17%FURIA fe · 0 maps
Dust2FURIA fe ban
60%50%
Players · 1 mapedge Players +10%FURIA fe · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPlayers remove Nuke
2. BanFURIA fe remove Dust2
3. PickPlayers take Ancient
4. PickFURIA fe take Inferno
5. BanFURIA fe remove Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:3
Players 67%FURIA fe 33%
The model gave 67% on Players — the map was taken by Players.
Mirageprediction correct13:2
Players 53%FURIA fe 47%
The model gave 53% on Players — the map was taken by Players.
Model check result
Model favoritePlayers · 55%
Series resultPlayers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2