Ninjas in Pyjamas 1vs1 Showdown 2026 · BO5
result vs predictionseries probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 3:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Default
60%60%
m4rk · 1 mapnearly even +0%sjuush · 1 map
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct3:1
m4rk 50%sjuush 50%
The model gave 50% on m4rk — the map was taken by m4rk.
Model check result
Model favoritem4rk · 50%
Series resultm4rk 3:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1