BC Game Masters Europe Season 2 Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Betclic#61 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 1:2
INOX Division#87 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoINOX Division ban
50%50%
Betclic · 0 mapsnearly even +0%INOX Division · 2 maps
AncientBetclic ban
50%60%
Betclic · 0 mapsedge INOX Division +10%INOX Division · 1 map
NukeINOX Division pick
50%60%
Betclic · 0 mapsedge INOX Division +10%INOX Division · 1 map
OverpassBetclic pick
50%60%
Betclic · 0 mapsedge INOX Division +10%INOX Division · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBetclic remove Ancient
2. BanINOX Division remove Inferno
3. PickBetclic take Overpass
4. PickINOX Division take Nuke
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct7:13
Betclic 47%INOX Division 53%
The model gave 53% on INOX Division — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Anubisprediction correct13:1
Betclic 53%INOX Division 47%
The model gave 53% on Betclic — the map was taken by Betclic.
Ancientprediction correct8:13
Betclic 40%INOX Division 60%
The model gave 60% on INOX Division — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Model check result
Model favoriteINOX Division · 58%
Series resultINOX Division 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3