CCT 2026 South America Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Procyon#119 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Yawara#156 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Procyon pick
50%50%
Procyon · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Yawara · 2 maps
InfernoYawara ban
40%43%
Procyon · 1 mapnearly even -3%Yawara · 3 maps
Anubispossible decider
50%50%
Procyon · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Yawara · 2 maps
MirageYawara pick
60%60%
Procyon · 1 mapnearly even +0%Yawara · 1 map
NukeYawara ban
33%50%
Procyon · 2 mapsedge Yawara +17%Yawara · 0 maps
AncientProcyon ban
50%40%
Procyon · 0 mapsedge Procyon +10%Yawara · 1 map
DefaultProcyon ban
50%60%
Procyon · 0 mapsedge Yawara +10%Yawara · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanProcyon remove Ancient
2. BanYawara remove Nuke
3. PickProcyon take Dust2
4. PickYawara take Mirage
5. BanYawara remove Inferno
6. BanProcyon remove Default
DeciderAnubis (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct6:13
Procyon 47%Yawara 53%
The model gave 53% on Yawara — the map was taken by Yawara.
Dust2prediction missed5:13
Procyon 53%Yawara 47%
The model gave 53% on Procyon — the map was taken by Yawara.
Model check result
Model favoriteYawara · 63%
Series resultYawara 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2