CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Omega#209 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 1:2
HAVU#97 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Omega pick
60%50%
Omega · 1 mapedge Omega +10%HAVU · 2 maps
AncientHAVU ban
60%50%
Omega · 1 mapedge Omega +10%HAVU · 0 maps
MirageOmega ban
50%60%
Omega · 0 mapsedge HAVU +10%HAVU · 1 map
OverpassHAVU pick
50%40%
Omega · 0 mapsedge Omega +10%HAVU · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanOmega remove Mirage
2. BanHAVU remove Ancient
3. PickOmega take Dust2
4. PickHAVU take Overpass
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:2
Omega 63%HAVU 37%
The model gave 63% on Omega — the map was taken by Omega.
Nukeprediction correct4:13
Omega 47%HAVU 53%
The model gave 53% on HAVU — the map was taken by HAVU.
Overpassprediction missed14:16
Omega 60%HAVU 40%
The model gave 60% on Omega — the map was taken by HAVU.
Model check result
Model favoriteHAVU · 51%
Series resultHAVU 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3