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CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Aurora Young Blud#212 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Lilmix#204 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragepossible decider
50%38%
Aurora Young Blud · 0 mapsedge Aurora Young Blud +12%Lilmix · 9 maps
Dust2Aurora Young Blud pick
50%20%
Aurora Young Blud · 0 mapsedge Aurora Young Blud +30%Lilmix · 6 maps
AncientAurora Young Blud ban
40%63%
Aurora Young Blud · 1 mapedge Lilmix +23%Lilmix · 4 maps
InfernoAurora Young Blud ban
50%71%
Aurora Young Blud · 0 mapsedge Lilmix +21%Lilmix · 3 maps
DefaultLilmix ban
50%33%
Aurora Young Blud · 0 mapsedge Aurora Young Blud +17%Lilmix · 2 maps
OverpassLilmix pick
50%67%
Aurora Young Blud · 0 mapsedge Lilmix +17%Lilmix · 2 maps
NukeLilmix ban
40%50%
Aurora Young Blud · 1 mapedge Lilmix +10%Lilmix · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAurora Young Blud remove Inferno
2. BanLilmix remove Nuke
3. PickAurora Young Blud take Dust2
4. PickLilmix take Overpass
5. BanLilmix remove Default
6. BanAurora Young Blud remove Ancient
DeciderMirage (50% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:6
Aurora Young Blud 31%Lilmix 69%
The model gave 69% on Lilmix — the map was taken by Aurora Young Blud.
Mirageprediction missed10:13
Aurora Young Blud 59%Lilmix 41%
The model gave 59% on Aurora Young Blud — the map was taken by Lilmix.
Overpassprediction correct8:13
Aurora Young Blud 33%Lilmix 67%
The model gave 67% on Lilmix — the map was taken by Lilmix.
Model check result
Model favoriteLilmix · 55%
Series resultLilmix 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3