CCT 2026 South America Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
paiN Academy#286 in the world · win 2:1series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:1
R2#208 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2R2 ban
33%40%
paiN Academy · 2 mapsedge R2 +7%R2 · 1 map
AnubispaiN Academy pick
50%50%
paiN Academy · 2 mapsnearly even +0%R2 · 0 maps
DefaultpaiN Academy ban
40%60%
paiN Academy · 1 mapedge R2 +20%R2 · 1 map
MirageR2 ban
67%50%
paiN Academy · 2 mapsedge paiN Academy +17%R2 · 0 maps
NukeR2 pick
50%50%
paiN Academy · 0 mapsnearly even +0%R2 · 2 maps
AncientpaiN Academy ban
50%60%
paiN Academy · 0 mapsedge R2 +10%R2 · 1 map
Infernopossible decider
60%50%
paiN Academy · 1 mapedge paiN Academy +10%R2 · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanpaiN Academy remove Ancient
2. BanR2 remove Mirage
3. PickpaiN Academy take Anubis
4. PickR2 take Nuke
5. BanR2 remove Dust2
6. BanpaiN Academy remove Default
DeciderInferno (60% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct9:13
paiN Academy 46%R2 54%
The model gave 54% on R2 — the map was taken by R2.
Nukeprediction missed13:9
paiN Academy 47%R2 53%
The model gave 53% on R2 — the map was taken by paiN Academy.
Overpassprediction correct13:7
paiN Academy 50%R2 50%
The model gave 50% on paiN Academy — the map was taken by paiN Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteR2 · 50%
Series resultpaiN Academy 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3