CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Permitta#103 in the world · win 2:0series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Misa#115 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Misa pick
33%50%
Permitta · 2 mapsedge Misa +17%Misa · 28 maps
Anubispossible decider
63%50%
Permitta · 4 mapsedge Permitta +13%Misa · 18 maps
MirageMisa ban
50%41%
Permitta · 4 mapsedge Permitta +9%Misa · 18 maps
NukeMisa ban
44%50%
Permitta · 5 mapsedge Misa +6%Misa · 14 maps
CachePermitta pick
67%40%
Permitta · 5 mapsedge Permitta +27%Misa · 11 maps
DefaultPermitta ban
33%42%
Permitta · 2 mapsedge Misa +9%Misa · 8 maps
InfernoPermitta ban
50%43%
Permitta · 0 mapsedge Permitta +7%Misa · 10 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPermitta remove Inferno
2. BanMisa remove Mirage
3. PickPermitta take Cache
4. PickMisa take Dust2
5. BanMisa remove Nuke
6. BanPermitta remove Default
DeciderAnubis (63% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct16:13
Permitta 73%Misa 27%
The model gave 73% on Permitta — the map was taken by Permitta.
Ancientprediction correct13:3
Permitta 53%Misa 47%
The model gave 53% on Permitta — the map was taken by Permitta.
Model check result
Model favoritePermitta · 57%
Series resultPermitta 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2