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Logitech G Play Connect 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
pre-match prediction
STATE#179 in the world
series probability
47%53%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
G2 Ares#80 in the world
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoG2 Ares pick
50%50%
STATE · 2 mapsnearly even +0%G2 Ares · 18 maps
MirageSTATE pick
67%50%
STATE · 2 mapsedge STATE +17%G2 Ares · 18 maps
AncientSTATE ban
44%53%
STATE · 5 mapsedge G2 Ares +9%G2 Ares · 13 maps
Dust2STATE ban
50%45%
STATE · 0 mapsedge STATE +5%G2 Ares · 18 maps
Overpasspossible decider
40%42%
STATE · 1 mapnearly even -2%G2 Ares · 8 maps
AnubisG2 Ares ban
40%44%
STATE · 1 mapnearly even -4%G2 Ares · 5 maps
NukeG2 Ares ban
60%50%
STATE · 6 mapsedge STATE +10%G2 Ares · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSTATE remove Dust2
2. BanG2 Ares remove Nuke
3. PickSTATE take Mirage
4. PickG2 Ares take Inferno
5. BanG2 Ares remove Anubis
6. BanSTATE remove Ancient
DeciderOverpass (40% / 42%)