CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Misa#115 in the world · win 2:1series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Misa pick
50%48%
Misa · 28 mapsnearly even +2%ex-MANA · 23 maps
Mirageex-MANA pick
41%55%
Misa · 18 mapsedge ex-MANA +14%ex-MANA · 16 maps
Anubispossible decider
50%42%
Misa · 18 mapsedge Misa +8%ex-MANA · 8 maps
Nukeex-MANA ban
50%30%
Misa · 14 mapsedge Misa +20%ex-MANA · 6 maps
AncientMisa ban
43%44%
Misa · 3 mapsnearly even -1%ex-MANA · 14 maps
Cacheex-MANA ban
38%43%
Misa · 12 mapsedge ex-MANA +5%ex-MANA · 3 maps
InfernoMisa ban
43%33%
Misa · 10 mapsedge Misa +10%ex-MANA · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMisa remove Ancient
2. Banex-MANA remove Nuke
3. PickMisa take Dust2
4. Pickex-MANA take Mirage
5. Banex-MANA remove Cache
6. BanMisa remove Inferno
DeciderAnubis (50% / 42%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct13:9
Misa 61%ex-MANA 39%
The model gave 61% on Misa — the map was taken by Misa.
Dust2prediction correct9:13
Misa 49%ex-MANA 51%
The model gave 51% on ex-MANA — the map was taken by ex-MANA.
Infernoprediction correct19:15
Misa 60%ex-MANA 40%
The model gave 60% on Misa — the map was taken by Misa.
Model check result
Model favoriteMisa · 63%
Series resultMisa 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3