CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Permitta#103 in the world · win 2:0series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageMai Tai pick
50%42%
Permitta · 4 mapsedge Permitta +8%Mai Tai · 15 maps
Defaultpossible decider
33%40%
Permitta · 2 mapsedge Mai Tai +7%Mai Tai · 16 maps
AncientPermitta ban
33%46%
Permitta · 8 mapsedge Mai Tai +13%Mai Tai · 9 maps
CacheMai Tai ban
70%50%
Permitta · 6 mapsedge Permitta +20%Mai Tai · 4 maps
NukePermitta pick
44%33%
Permitta · 5 mapsedge Permitta +11%Mai Tai · 5 maps
AnubisMai Tai ban
63%33%
Permitta · 4 mapsedge Permitta +30%Mai Tai · 5 maps
Dust2Permitta ban
33%44%
Permitta · 2 mapsedge Mai Tai +11%Mai Tai · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPermitta remove Dust2
2. BanMai Tai remove Anubis
3. PickPermitta take Nuke
4. PickMai Tai take Mirage
5. BanMai Tai remove Cache
6. BanPermitta remove Ancient
DeciderDefault (33% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:7
Permitta 64%Mai Tai 36%
The model gave 64% on Permitta — the map was taken by Permitta.
Mirageprediction correct19:15
Permitta 55%Mai Tai 45%
The model gave 55% on Permitta — the map was taken by Permitta.
Model check result
Model favoriteMai Tai · 54%
Series resultPermitta 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 2