Logitech G Play Connect 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
BASEMENT BOYS#96 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 1:2
EAC#76 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientEAC pick
50%57%
BASEMENT BOYS · 12 mapsedge EAC +7%EAC · 17 maps
Miragepossible decider
57%57%
BASEMENT BOYS · 10 mapsnearly even +0%EAC · 19 maps
NukeBASEMENT BOYS pick
59%38%
BASEMENT BOYS · 13 mapsedge BASEMENT BOYS +21%EAC · 9 maps
AnubisEAC ban
56%53%
BASEMENT BOYS · 5 mapsnearly even +3%EAC · 11 maps
CacheBASEMENT BOYS ban
60%62%
BASEMENT BOYS · 6 mapsnearly even -2%EAC · 9 maps
Dust2EAC ban
50%40%
BASEMENT BOYS · 10 mapsedge BASEMENT BOYS +10%EAC · 1 map
InfernoBASEMENT BOYS ban
38%27%
BASEMENT BOYS · 4 mapsedge BASEMENT BOYS +11%EAC · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBASEMENT BOYS remove Inferno
2. BanEAC remove Dust2
3. PickBASEMENT BOYS take Nuke
4. PickEAC take Ancient
5. BanEAC remove Anubis
6. BanBASEMENT BOYS remove Cache
DeciderMirage (57% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct7:13
BASEMENT BOYS 40%EAC 60%
The model gave 60% on EAC — the map was taken by EAC.
Mirageprediction correct13:11
BASEMENT BOYS 54%EAC 46%
The model gave 54% on BASEMENT BOYS — the map was taken by BASEMENT BOYS.
Nukeprediction missed10:13
BASEMENT BOYS 70%EAC 30%
The model gave 70% on BASEMENT BOYS — the map was taken by EAC.
Model check result
Model favoriteEAC · 68%
Series resultEAC 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3