Logitech G Play Connect 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
OG#203 in the world · win 2:1series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Eternal Fire#46 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2OG pick
69%50%
OG · 12 mapsedge OG +19%Eternal Fire · 8 maps
MirageOG ban
55%50%
OG · 7 mapsedge OG +5%Eternal Fire · 6 maps
AncientEternal Fire pick
60%60%
OG · 6 mapsnearly even +0%Eternal Fire · 6 maps
NukeEternal Fire ban
36%33%
OG · 7 mapsnearly even +3%Eternal Fire · 2 maps
CacheOG ban
25%63%
OG · 4 mapsedge Eternal Fire +38%Eternal Fire · 4 maps
InfernoEternal Fire ban
40%33%
OG · 6 mapsedge OG +7%Eternal Fire · 2 maps
Overpasspossible decider
43%60%
OG · 3 mapsedge Eternal Fire +17%Eternal Fire · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanOG remove Cache
2. BanEternal Fire remove Nuke
3. PickOG take Dust2
4. PickEternal Fire take Ancient
5. BanEternal Fire remove Inferno
6. BanOG remove Mirage
DeciderOverpass (43% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:9
OG 15%Eternal Fire 85%
The model gave 85% on Eternal Fire — the map was taken by OG.
Infernoprediction missed1:13
OG 60%Eternal Fire 40%
The model gave 60% on OG — the map was taken by Eternal Fire.
Mirageprediction correct13:11
OG 55%Eternal Fire 45%
The model gave 55% on OG — the map was taken by OG.
Model check result
Model favoriteOG · 56%
Series resultOG 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3