Logitech G Play Connect 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
LP#107 in the world · win 1:0series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoRaccoons pick
53%67%
LP · 11 mapsedge Raccoons +14%Raccoons · 2 maps
AncientLP pick
71%50%
LP · 10 mapsedge LP +21%Raccoons · 2 maps
MirageLP ban
20%60%
LP · 6 mapsedge Raccoons +40%Raccoons · 6 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%60%
LP · 8 mapsedge Raccoons +10%Raccoons · 1 map
Dust2LP ban
44%50%
LP · 5 mapsedge Raccoons +6%Raccoons · 2 maps
CacheRaccoons ban
75%50%
LP · 4 mapsedge LP +25%Raccoons · 0 maps
DefaultRaccoons ban
60%40%
LP · 1 mapedge LP +20%Raccoons · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLP remove Mirage
2. BanRaccoons remove Cache
3. PickLP take Ancient
4. PickRaccoons take Inferno
5. BanRaccoons remove Default
6. BanLP remove Dust2
DeciderNuke (50% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
LP 69%Raccoons 31%
The model gave 69% on LP — the map was taken by LP.
Model check result
Model favoriteLP · 74%
Series resultLP 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1