Logitech G Play Connect 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
LP#107 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
OG#203 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoOG ban
53%36%
LP · 11 mapsedge LP +17%OG · 7 maps
Dust2OG pick
44%69%
LP · 5 mapsedge OG +25%OG · 12 maps
AncientLP pick
71%60%
LP · 10 mapsedge LP +11%OG · 6 maps
NukeLP ban
50%36%
LP · 8 mapsedge LP +14%OG · 7 maps
MirageLP ban
20%58%
LP · 6 mapsedge OG +38%OG · 8 maps
CacheOG ban
75%33%
LP · 4 mapsedge LP +42%OG · 5 maps
Overpasspossible decider
60%43%
LP · 1 mapedge LP +17%OG · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLP remove Mirage
2. BanOG remove Cache
3. PickLP take Ancient
4. PickOG take Dust2
5. BanOG remove Inferno
6. BanLP remove Nuke
DeciderOverpass (60% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed6:13
LP 66%OG 34%
The model gave 66% on LP — the map was taken by OG.
Dust2prediction correct9:13
LP 24%OG 76%
The model gave 76% on OG — the map was taken by OG.
Model check result
Model favoriteOG · 57%
Series resultOG 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2