CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Misa#124 in the world · win 2:0series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageMai Tai pick
36%40%
Misa · 18 mapsnearly even -4%Mai Tai · 16 maps
Dust2Misa pick
45%44%
Misa · 27 mapsnearly even +1%Mai Tai · 5 maps
AnubisMai Tai ban
50%33%
Misa · 20 mapsedge Misa +17%Mai Tai · 5 maps
Defaultpossible decider
42%40%
Misa · 8 mapsnearly even +2%Mai Tai · 16 maps
NukeMai Tai ban
50%30%
Misa · 12 mapsedge Misa +20%Mai Tai · 6 maps
CacheMisa ban
41%50%
Misa · 13 mapsedge Mai Tai +9%Mai Tai · 4 maps
AncientMisa ban
43%46%
Misa · 3 mapsnearly even -3%Mai Tai · 9 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMisa remove Ancient
2. BanMai Tai remove Nuke
3. PickMisa take Dust2
4. PickMai Tai take Mirage
5. BanMai Tai remove Anubis
6. BanMisa remove Cache
DeciderDefault (42% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:10
Misa 54%Mai Tai 46%
The model gave 54% on Misa — the map was taken by Misa.
Mirageprediction missed13:11
Misa 43%Mai Tai 57%
The model gave 57% on Mai Tai — the map was taken by Misa.
Model check result
Model favoriteMai Tai · 52%
Series resultMisa 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2