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CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
SAW Youngsters#143 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Honvéd#144 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2SAW Youngsters pick
46%54%
SAW Youngsters · 9 mapsedge Honvéd +8%Honvéd · 33 maps
MirageHonvéd pick
41%48%
SAW Youngsters · 13 mapsedge Honvéd +7%Honvéd · 25 maps
InfernoHonvéd ban
72%33%
SAW Youngsters · 14 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +39%Honvéd · 8 maps
Ancientpossible decider
45%50%
SAW Youngsters · 7 mapsedge Honvéd +5%Honvéd · 14 maps
AnubisHonvéd ban
50%44%
SAW Youngsters · 6 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +6%Honvéd · 5 maps
NukeSAW Youngsters ban
40%56%
SAW Youngsters · 6 mapsedge Honvéd +16%Honvéd · 5 maps
CacheSAW Youngsters ban
50%36%
SAW Youngsters · 0 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +14%Honvéd · 10 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSAW Youngsters remove Cache
2. BanHonvéd remove Inferno
3. PickSAW Youngsters take Dust2
4. PickHonvéd take Mirage
5. BanHonvéd remove Anubis
6. BanSAW Youngsters remove Nuke
DeciderAncient (45% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:8
SAW Youngsters 85%Honvéd 15%
The model gave 85% on SAW Youngsters — the map was taken by SAW Youngsters.
Mirageprediction correct13:16
SAW Youngsters 40%Honvéd 60%
The model gave 60% on Honvéd — the map was taken by Honvéd.
Dust2prediction correct11:13
SAW Youngsters 42%Honvéd 58%
The model gave 58% on Honvéd — the map was taken by Honvéd.
Model check result
Model favoriteHonvéd · 62%
Series resultHonvéd 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3