Logitech G Play Connect 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
LP#107 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Eternal Fire#46 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientLP pick
69%64%
LP · 9 mapsedge LP +5%Eternal Fire · 7 maps
Dust2Eternal Fire pick
40%50%
LP · 6 mapsedge Eternal Fire +10%Eternal Fire · 8 maps
InfernoEternal Fire ban
50%50%
LP · 10 mapsnearly even +0%Eternal Fire · 4 maps
MirageLP ban
25%45%
LP · 4 mapsedge Eternal Fire +20%Eternal Fire · 7 maps
NukeEternal Fire ban
42%33%
LP · 8 mapsedge LP +9%Eternal Fire · 2 maps
Cachepossible decider
75%56%
LP · 4 mapsedge LP +19%Eternal Fire · 5 maps
DefaultLP ban
67%67%
LP · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Eternal Fire · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLP remove Mirage
2. BanEternal Fire remove Nuke
3. PickLP take Ancient
4. PickEternal Fire take Dust2
5. BanEternal Fire remove Inferno
6. BanLP remove Default
DeciderCache (75% / 56%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed6:13
LP 53%Eternal Fire 47%
The model gave 53% on LP — the map was taken by Eternal Fire.
Cacheprediction correct13:10
LP 68%Eternal Fire 32%
The model gave 68% on LP — the map was taken by LP.
Mirageprediction correct7:13
LP 29%Eternal Fire 71%
The model gave 71% on Eternal Fire — the map was taken by Eternal Fire.
Model check result
Model favoriteEternal Fire · 57%
Series resultEternal Fire 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3