Logitech G Play Connect 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
SINNERS#45 in the world · win 2:1series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:1
EAC#76 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageSINNERS pick
55%54%
SINNERS · 7 mapsnearly even +1%EAC · 20 maps
AncientEAC pick
27%59%
SINNERS · 7 mapsedge EAC +32%EAC · 18 maps
Cachepossible decider
40%62%
SINNERS · 6 mapsedge EAC +22%EAC · 9 maps
InfernoEAC ban
50%27%
SINNERS · 6 mapsedge SINNERS +23%EAC · 7 maps
AnubisSINNERS ban
50%53%
SINNERS · 0 mapsnearly even -3%EAC · 11 maps
NukeSINNERS ban
40%43%
SINNERS · 1 mapnearly even -3%EAC · 10 maps
Dust2EAC ban
54%40%
SINNERS · 9 mapsedge SINNERS +14%EAC · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSINNERS remove Anubis
2. BanEAC remove Dust2
3. PickSINNERS take Mirage
4. PickEAC take Ancient
5. BanEAC remove Inferno
6. BanSINNERS remove Nuke
DeciderCache (40% / 62%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed3:13
SINNERS 75%EAC 25%
The model gave 75% on SINNERS — the map was taken by EAC.
Ancientprediction missed13:11
SINNERS 19%EAC 81%
The model gave 81% on EAC — the map was taken by SINNERS.
Cacheprediction missed13:10
SINNERS 29%EAC 71%
The model gave 71% on EAC — the map was taken by SINNERS.
Model check result
Model favoriteSINNERS · 54%
Series resultSINNERS 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 3