CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
SPARTA#89 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2SPARTA pick
65%38%
SPARTA · 39 mapsedge SPARTA +27%Just Players · 22 maps
MirageJust Players pick
56%53%
SPARTA · 23 mapsnearly even +3%Just Players · 30 maps
AncientSPARTA ban
44%64%
SPARTA · 21 mapedge Just Players +20%Just Players · 21 map
Nukepossible decider
50%35%
SPARTA · 20 mapsedge SPARTA +15%Just Players · 13 maps
CacheJust Players ban
47%33%
SPARTA · 11 mapsedge SPARTA +14%Just Players · 8 maps
InfernoJust Players ban
56%50%
SPARTA · 12 mapsedge SPARTA +6%Just Players · 0 maps
AnubisSPARTA ban
43%45%
SPARTA · 3 mapsnearly even -2%Just Players · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSPARTA remove Anubis
2. BanJust Players remove Inferno
3. PickSPARTA take Dust2
4. PickJust Players take Mirage
5. BanJust Players remove Cache
6. BanSPARTA remove Ancient
DeciderNuke (50% / 35%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
SPARTA 50%Just Players 50%
The model gave 50% on SPARTA — the map was taken by Just Players.
Model check result
Model favoriteJust Players · 64%
Series resultJust Players 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1