Logitech G Play Connect 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Phantom#87 in the world · win 2:1series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:1
OG#203 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientPhantom pick
59%60%
Phantom · 18 mapsnearly even -1%OG · 6 maps
Dust2OG pick
50%75%
Phantom · 10 mapsedge OG +25%OG · 12 maps
Nukepossible decider
54%42%
Phantom · 9 mapsedge Phantom +12%OG · 8 maps
MiragePhantom ban
43%58%
Phantom · 3 mapsedge OG +15%OG · 8 maps
InfernoOG ban
75%30%
Phantom · 4 mapsedge Phantom +45%OG · 6 maps
CachePhantom ban
33%33%
Phantom · 2 mapsnearly even +0%OG · 5 maps
AnubisOG ban
50%50%
Phantom · 6 mapsnearly even +0%OG · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPhantom remove Mirage
2. BanOG remove Anubis
3. PickPhantom take Ancient
4. PickOG take Dust2
5. BanOG remove Inferno
6. BanPhantom remove Cache
DeciderNuke (54% / 42%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:8
Phantom 32%OG 68%
The model gave 68% on OG — the map was taken by Phantom.
Nukeprediction missed9:13
Phantom 65%OG 35%
The model gave 65% on Phantom — the map was taken by OG.
Infernoprediction correct13:11
Phantom 88%OG 12%
The model gave 88% on Phantom — the map was taken by Phantom.
Model check result
Model favoritePhantom · 51%
Series resultPhantom 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3