Logitech G Play Connect 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Omega#148 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:2
QUAZAR#94 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Omega pick
79%46%
Omega · 10 mapsedge Omega +33%QUAZAR · 9 maps
MirageQUAZAR pick
60%77%
Omega · 6 mapsedge QUAZAR +17%QUAZAR · 9 maps
CacheOmega ban
57%58%
Omega · 3 mapsnearly even -1%QUAZAR · 8 maps
InfernoQUAZAR ban
50%60%
Omega · 4 mapsedge QUAZAR +10%QUAZAR · 6 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%50%
Omega · 2 mapsnearly even +0%QUAZAR · 8 maps
AnubisOmega ban
50%58%
Omega · 0 mapsedge QUAZAR +8%QUAZAR · 8 maps
AncientQUAZAR ban
38%50%
Omega · 4 mapsedge QUAZAR +12%QUAZAR · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanOmega remove Anubis
2. BanQUAZAR remove Ancient
3. PickOmega take Dust2
4. PickQUAZAR take Mirage
5. BanQUAZAR remove Inferno
6. BanOmega remove Cache
DeciderNuke (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct26:28
Omega 46%QUAZAR 54%
The model gave 54% on QUAZAR — the map was taken by QUAZAR.
Dust2prediction missed10:13
Omega 83%QUAZAR 17%
The model gave 83% on Omega — the map was taken by QUAZAR.
Model check result
Model favoriteQUAZAR · 53%
Series resultQUAZAR 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2