CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
MOUZ NXT#142 in the world · win 2:1series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Bushido Wildcats#73 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Bushido Wildcats pick
19%74%
MOUZ NXT · 12 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +55%Bushido Wildcats · 30 maps
MirageMOUZ NXT ban
25%56%
MOUZ NXT · 12 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +31%Bushido Wildcats · 21 map
NukeMOUZ NXT pick
65%57%
MOUZ NXT · 13 mapsedge MOUZ NXT +8%Bushido Wildcats · 19 maps
Cachepossible decider
50%58%
MOUZ NXT · 12 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +8%Bushido Wildcats · 8 maps
AnubisBushido Wildcats ban
50%64%
MOUZ NXT · 4 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +14%Bushido Wildcats · 7 maps
InfernoMOUZ NXT ban
40%42%
MOUZ NXT · 1 mapnearly even -2%Bushido Wildcats · 8 maps
AncientBushido Wildcats ban
67%40%
MOUZ NXT · 5 mapsedge MOUZ NXT +27%Bushido Wildcats · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMOUZ NXT remove Inferno
2. BanBushido Wildcats remove Ancient
3. PickMOUZ NXT take Nuke
4. PickBushido Wildcats take Dust2
5. BanBushido Wildcats remove Anubis
6. BanMOUZ NXT remove Mirage
DeciderCache (50% / 58%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed11:13
MOUZ NXT 61%Bushido Wildcats 39%
The model gave 61% on MOUZ NXT — the map was taken by Bushido Wildcats.
Dust2prediction missed13:7
MOUZ NXT 7%Bushido Wildcats 93%
The model gave 93% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by MOUZ NXT.
Mirageprediction missed13:8
MOUZ NXT 21%Bushido Wildcats 79%
The model gave 79% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by MOUZ NXT.
Model check result
Model favoriteBushido Wildcats · 76%
Series resultMOUZ NXT 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3