CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Black Phoenix#80 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 0:2
UNiTY#94 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Black Phoenix pick
53%42%
Black Phoenix · 28 mapsedge Black Phoenix +11%UNiTY · 8 maps
MirageBlack Phoenix ban
43%53%
Black Phoenix · 17 mapsedge UNiTY +10%UNiTY · 11 maps
Infernopossible decider
67%53%
Black Phoenix · 11 mapsedge Black Phoenix +14%UNiTY · 11 maps
AnubisUNiTY pick
13%64%
Black Phoenix · 11 mapsedge UNiTY +51%UNiTY · 7 maps
CacheUNiTY ban
64%36%
Black Phoenix · 10 mapsedge Black Phoenix +28%UNiTY · 7 maps
NukeUNiTY ban
53%33%
Black Phoenix · 15 mapsedge Black Phoenix +20%UNiTY · 2 maps
AncientBlack Phoenix ban
50%63%
Black Phoenix · 0 mapsedge UNiTY +13%UNiTY · 15 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBlack Phoenix remove Ancient
2. BanUNiTY remove Nuke
3. PickBlack Phoenix take Dust2
4. PickUNiTY take Anubis
5. BanUNiTY remove Cache
6. BanBlack Phoenix remove Mirage
DeciderInferno (67% / 53%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed8:13
Black Phoenix 64%UNiTY 36%
The model gave 64% on Black Phoenix — the map was taken by UNiTY.
Anubisprediction correct2:13
Black Phoenix 7%UNiTY 93%
The model gave 93% on UNiTY — the map was taken by UNiTY.
Model check result
Model favoriteUNiTY · 55%
Series resultUNiTY 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2