CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
SPARTA#89 in the world · win 2:0series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:0
HAVU#116 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2HAVU ban
64%33%
SPARTA · 38 mapsedge SPARTA +31%HAVU · 5 maps
NukeHAVU pick
50%69%
SPARTA · 20 mapsedge HAVU +19%HAVU · 12 maps
MirageSPARTA pick
54%60%
SPARTA · 22 mapsedge HAVU +6%HAVU · 6 maps
AncientSPARTA ban
44%50%
SPARTA · 21 mapedge HAVU +6%HAVU · 4 maps
CacheHAVU ban
47%33%
SPARTA · 11 mapsedge SPARTA +14%HAVU · 5 maps
Infernopossible decider
56%57%
SPARTA · 12 mapsnearly even -1%HAVU · 3 maps
AnubisSPARTA ban
43%40%
SPARTA · 3 mapsnearly even +3%HAVU · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSPARTA remove Anubis
2. BanHAVU remove Dust2
3. PickSPARTA take Mirage
4. PickHAVU take Nuke
5. BanHAVU remove Cache
6. BanSPARTA remove Ancient
DeciderInferno (56% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:6
SPARTA 80%HAVU 20%
The model gave 80% on SPARTA — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Mirageprediction missed22:19
SPARTA 41%HAVU 59%
The model gave 59% on HAVU — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Model check result
Model favoriteSPARTA · 56%
Series resultSPARTA 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2